New Poll Shows Democratic Senator Tammy Baldwin Falls Behind Republican Eric Hovde

Democratic Senator Tammy Baldwin has fallen behind Republican rival Eric Hovde for the first time in a new poll. With just three weeks remaining until the election on November 5, voters in Wisconsin are faced with a pivotal choice that could shape the future of the Senate and the presidency. Both candidates are vying for a crucial Senate seat in Wisconsin, which is considered one of the three significant swing states, alongside Michigan and Pennsylvania, that both Donald Trump and Kamala Harris are focusing on heavily.

According to a recent internal polling memo from the National Republican Senatorial Committee, Hovde currently holds a narrow one-point lead over Baldwin in a direct matchup. The polling indicates that Hovde received 48 percent support from respondents, while Baldwin garnered 47 percent. This shift marks a significant change in the race, as Baldwin has been a prominent figure in Wisconsin politics since she took office as a state senator in 2013.

"This is the first time we have seen Hovde with the lead in our internal polling," stated Jason Thielman, the executive director of NRSC. In a broader ballot that included third-party candidates, both candidates were tied at 46 percent, indicating a highly competitive race ahead. Thielman also pointed out that Hovde has a unique opportunity to build on this momentum while raising concerns about Baldwin's campaign.

The dynamics of the race have shifted rapidly, and Baldwin's team is aware of the tightening margins. In earlier polls, Baldwin was leading, including a survey conducted by InsiderAdvantage Surveys that showed her with 48 percent compared to Hovde's 47 percent. This changing landscape highlights the importance of voter engagement and the growing competitiveness of the race as election day approaches.

Key Takeaways from the Poll