Kamala Harris Regains Lead In Michigan: Latest Polling Insights

Vice President Kamala Harris is back in the lead in the swing state of Michigan, according to the latest polling from Quinnipiac University. A survey released Wednesday found that Harris is ahead of former President Donald Trump 49 percent to 46 percent. This poll is based on the responses of 1,136 likely voters collected by telephone between October 17 and 21.

The poll has a margin of error of 2.9 percent, roughly the same as the gap between Harris and Trump. However, it is a positive sign for Democrats as the same poll conducted at the beginning of October found Trump leading by 3 points (50 percent to 47 percent). That earlier poll had a margin of error of 3.1 points and was based on the responses of 1,007 likely voters.

In September, Harris held a 5-point lead (50 percent to 45 percent) in Michigan, according to polling by Quinnipiac University. This fluctuating data reflects the intense competition in a state that was pivotal in the 2020 presidential election.

Both presidential campaigns have prioritized stops in Michigan in the final weeks before Election Day. The state was won by President Joe Biden in 2020, but poll trackers show that Harris is only marginally ahead of Trump there. On Wednesday, FiveThirtyEight found that Harris is up by 0.6 points on average in the Great Lakes State, indicating a tight race.

Early voting in Michigan will kick off on Saturday, although some jurisdictions have already opened polling booths. According to Michigan Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson, more than 1.2 million voters have cast an absentee or early voting ballot as of Wednesday, making up roughly 17.2 percent of the state's active registered voters.

Harris is scheduled to hold a get-out-the-vote event in Michigan on the first day of statewide early voting along with Michelle Obama, marking the first time the former first lady will hit the campaign trail to support Harris. This engagement aims to mobilize voters and enhance turnout as the election date approaches.

Trump is making two stops in Michigan that coincide with the state’s early voting this week. His chances in Michigan have been bolstered in part due to inroads his campaign has made among union voters, with some polls showing significant support for him among this demographic.

In summary, the ongoing dynamics in Michigan reflect the significance of voter engagement as both campaigns ramp up their efforts in the lead-up to the election.